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<title>Trump's Twitter Presence and How It Affects His Approval Rating in the Time of COVID-19, by Lauren Li</title>
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<h3><u>Project details</u></h3>
<p>My goal for this project was to look for a correlation between President Trump's approval rating and his
Twitter activity (tweets and retweets) since Twitter seems to be his main source of communication with the
general public. If there is no correlation between his approval rating and Twitter activity, how much of an
impact does COVID-19, or economic factors affect his approval rating?</p>
<p>To explore economic factors, I recorded daily closing prices for stock market inidices (NASDAQ, DJI, and
S&P), number of unemployment claims submitted every week at a national level, and average weekly national
gas prices (regular and diesel). I also recorded daily new and confirmed COVID cases at a national level
since we are currently living in a pandemic. In order to try to measure the full impact of how COVID-19
might be affecting Trump's approval rating, I collected all of my data starting from Jan 1st-Dec 7th, 2020.
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<p><b>Hypothesis:</b> Due to Trump's unconventional presidency, I predicted that his Twitter activity would
affect his approval rating more than economic factors or new and confirmed COVID cases at a national level.
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<p><b>Conclusion:</b> Based on my <a href="data.json" target="_blank">data</a>, scatterplot explorations, and final visualization, I do not see a correlation
between Trump's Twitter activity and his approval rating. Out of all my recorded properties, the one that
seems to have the strongest correlation with his approval rating appears to be the number of new and
confirmed COVID cases at a national level. This is not to say that COVID cases affect Trump’s approval
rating consistently, but that it may have had an impact on his approval ratings between May-October 2020.
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<p>For more details about my project, view my <a href="report.pdf" target="_blank">final report</a>.</p>
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