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questions.rtf
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questions.rtf
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{\rtf1\ansi\ansicpg1252\cocoartf1404\cocoasubrtf470
{\fonttbl\f0\fswiss\fcharset0 Helvetica;}
{\colortbl;\red255\green255\blue255;}
{\*\listtable{\list\listtemplateid1\listhybrid{\listlevel\levelnfc0\levelnfcn0\leveljc0\leveljcn0\levelfollow0\levelstartat1\levelspace360\levelindent0{\*\levelmarker \{decimal\}.}{\leveltext\leveltemplateid1\'02\'00.;}{\levelnumbers\'01;}\fi-360\li720\lin720 }{\listname ;}\listid1}
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{\*\listoverridetable{\listoverride\listid1\listoverridecount0\ls1}{\listoverride\listid2\listoverridecount0\ls2}{\listoverride\listid3\listoverridecount0\ls3}}
\margl1440\margr1440\vieww12600\viewh10200\viewkind0
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\f0\fs28 \cf0 Questions to ask:\
\
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\ls1\ilvl0\cf0 {\listtext 1. }will a player get an NHL contract from a Junior League?\
{\listtext 2. }if they get an NHL contract, will they play any NHL games, or will they be just in the AHL?\
{\listtext 3. }if they play an NHL games, will they get more than 160 NHL games?\
{\listtext 4. }Can we predict the number of games?\
{\listtext 5. }Can we predict the TOI?\
{\listtext 6. }Given the predictions, can we rank junior players and compare with NHL draft order.\
{\listtext 7. }For players who play both in the NHL and the AHL, can we predict their scores in the NHL from the AHL or vice versa?\
\pard\tx566\tx1133\tx1700\tx2267\tx2834\tx3401\tx3968\tx4535\tx5102\tx5669\tx6236\tx6803\pardirnatural\partightenfactor0
\cf0 \
\
Todo\
\
\pard\tx220\tx720\tx1133\tx1700\tx2267\tx2834\tx3401\tx3968\tx4535\tx5102\tx5669\tx6236\tx6803\li720\fi-720\pardirnatural\partightenfactor0
\ls2\ilvl0\cf0 {\listtext 1. }http://www.eliteprospects.com/league.php?leagueid=AHL&season=2006 can we crawl this for 10 seasons?\
\pard\tx566\tx1133\tx1700\tx2267\tx2834\tx3401\tx3968\tx4535\tx5102\tx5669\tx6236\tx6803\pardirnatural\partightenfactor0
\cf0 \
Ideas on continuous models\
\
\pard\tx220\tx720\tx1133\tx1700\tx2267\tx2834\tx3401\tx3968\tx4535\tx5102\tx5669\tx6236\tx6803\li720\fi-720\pardirnatural\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl0\cf0 {\listtext \'95 }single-variable marginal models: poisson, negative binomial, exponential, power law? Try AIC as in stats book.\
{\listtext \'95 }multi-variate joint models: sum product poisson network (Kersting), Gaussian approximation, discretize?\
{\listtext \'95 }discrete variables + continuous models. \
\pard\tx940\tx1440\tx1700\tx2267\tx2834\tx3401\tx3968\tx4535\tx5102\tx5669\tx6236\tx6803\li1440\fi-1440\pardirnatural\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl1\cf0 {\listtext \uc0\u8259 }use discrete variables to define subgroups.\
{\listtext \uc0\u8259 }within subgroups, can:\
\pard\tx1660\tx2160\tx2267\tx2834\tx3401\tx3968\tx4535\tx5102\tx5669\tx6236\tx6803\li2160\fi-2160\pardirnatural\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl2\cf0 {\listtext \uc0\u8259 }use linear model to predict\
{\listtext \uc0\u8259 }do further clustering, i.e. use mixture model or learn axis-parallel rectangles\
\pard\tx940\tx1440\tx1700\tx2267\tx2834\tx3401\tx3968\tx4535\tx5102\tx5669\tx6236\tx6803\li1440\fi-1440\pardirnatural\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl1\cf0 {\listtext \uc0\u8259 }measure how exceptional subgroups are\
{\listtext \uc0\u8259 }use continuous variables to define how exceptional individuals are. \
\pard\tx1660\tx2160\tx2267\tx2834\tx3401\tx3968\tx4535\tx5102\tx5669\tx6236\tx6803\li2160\fi-2160\pardirnatural\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl2\cf0 {\listtext \uc0\u8259 }distance from mean\
{\listtext \uc0\u8259 }in linear model: weighted feature difference, identifies weak points and strong points\
\pard\tx940\tx1440\tx1700\tx2267\tx2834\tx3401\tx3968\tx4535\tx5102\tx5669\tx6236\tx6803\li1440\fi-1440\pardirnatural\partightenfactor0
\ls3\ilvl1\cf0 {\listtext \uc0\u8259 }to find subgroups: can use regression tree, or EMM package\
}