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The code in this repository reproduces the analysis reported in this paper.

Using separate and combined pillars datasets, the code in TT_anaylsis_1.md performs a Maximum-Likelihood estimation of R over fixed time periods before and after the Test and Trace programme launches.

Using pillar1_case_data.csv and population_by_region.csv, the code in TT_anaylsis_2.md estimates incidence of new infections and the instantaneous reproduction number R in April-June across Upper Tier Local Authorities of England.

The code in IoW_synthetic_control.do uses these estimates of R (saved in time_series_R.csv) to perform the synthetic control analysis.

CC BY 4.0 This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.