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Price Prediction with Machine Learning Models (practicum project at CME group)

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Price Prediction with Machine Learning Models

This project proposed a machine learning (Logistic Regreesion and SVM) framework to predict price movement in a high frequency environment and build trading strategy based on this prediction.

###The project has three main parts:
#####Part 1: Data processing and visualization

  • Data for this project is the limit order book of E-mini S&P500 future. A sample data is in sample_data folder.
  • Training set is created at every trade entry with attributes calculate from previous book entry.
  • Target value is the directional movement of next trade price.
  • 'ggplot' package is used for visualization

#####Part 2: Model training and testing

  • Logistic Regression with nearly 78% accuracy
  • Support Vector Machines with nearly 87% accuracy

#####Part 3: Iceberg Detection

  • Introduce the basic idea of iceberg order detection algorithm
  • Found more than 11,000 iceberg orders within one day

--- > Shuyue Fu
MSFE candidate at University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
My Resume:[Shuyue Fu](https://github.com/fushuyue/Financial_Computing/raw/master/MyResume/MyResume.pdf)
My Linkedln:[Linkedln](https://www.linkedin.com/in/shuyuefu)
My Email:sfu11@illinois.edu

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